Play-to-earn brings much-needed change to the gaming industry

Maciej Zieliński

29 Dec 2021
Play-to-earn brings much-needed change to the gaming industry

Play-to-earn may be the hottest word in the whole gaming industry. Check how you can join the trend that rocks players all around the globe!

Earing by playing games isn’t necessarily a new idea. Even 20 years ago best players of such games as Diablo II or Runescape were able to make money on selling digital assets they acquired during the game. Not to mention the professional players, who in the last decade became able to generate significant profits from their e-sport activity. 

Yet, through time many new restrictions emerged, making earning from playing more and more difficult for amateur players. Of course, solutions such as Steam marketplace are available. Yet, they are not free from burdensome limitations. For example, on Steam it’s not possible to withdraw money from your account. Other ways of trading in-game assets, which involved less popular or not adapted platforms, often fail when it comes to security. 

NFTs may give us a chance to change it. And everything indicates that players are interested. 

What does play-to-earn mean?

Essentially play-to-earn refer to earning real profits just by… playing. Simple, right? As we mentioned the core idea isn’t new. Yet, it is thanks to modern solutions such as NTF, that this phenomenon may be facilitated for the broader audience.

Currently, play-to-earn is most often used in the context of so-called crypto games. These gaming platforms allow their users to earn their native cryptocurrency during the game. For example, users can get tokens for winning fights or selling limited items. Eventually, those tokens can be exchanged for other cryptocurrencies or fiat money.

Why are investors interested in launching their own crypto games? With the growth of the game’s environment, the value of the game’s native currency increased as well. The more players game has, the more transactions are facilitated in-game, and eventually the higher demand for the currency is. 

Play-to-earn gaming and crypto games are two phenomenons highly connected with each other. Hence, to bring closer the first one, we will also discuss the second.

Crypto games

Crypto games are without a doubt the hottest trend in the Blockchain industry. Despite a modest start, crypto games slowly became one of the most revolutionizing factors in the modern gaming landscape. From CryptoKitties, through NBA Top Shot, to Axie Infinity - crypto games from simple collectible games have grown into revolutionary projects, which influence goes far beyond the gaming industry. How was it possible? All thanks to NFT tokens…

Yes, that’s right. You hear about NFT almost everywhere. Collins dictionary even named NFT the Word of the Year for 2021! But among all NFT’s implementations, one seems to be particularly exciting for blockchain entrepreneurs - games. Recent events, such as Immutable X’s ICO, show us how important this branch became for the whole industry. 

How NFTs may be used in video games? Below we briefly described that issue. 

What are NFTs?

NFTs - 2021 was definitely their year. Spectacular events, such as record-breaking art sales, incredibly expensive virtual land plots, or fashion icons launching their own NFT collections made headlines all across the globe. Here you can find more about particularly significant NFT projects from 2021. But besides a buzzword, what exactly are NFTs? 

NFT stands for non-fungible token. Non-fungibility means that every token in the system is unique. NFTs don’t have a common value and often do not allow for an equal exchange (NFT for NFT). Each token represents unique information of ownership or identity.  

Among various blockchain token types, we differentiate between fungible and non-fungible tokens. (You can read here more about token types) Examples of the first kind are Bitcoin or Ether. Fungible means that a single token is indistinguishable from others in the same ecosystem. Just like in regular currency. Thus, they can be used for payment transactions. 

Although NFT tokens became popular just recently, they’ve been with us for much longer. First, and still most popular NFT standard - ERC was created in 2016. Yet, for a long time, NFTs were left in the shadow of their fungible counterparts. This year delivered dozens of groundbreaking projects that changed this trend. 

NFT games 

NFT games are almost as old as NFTs themselves. After all their first commercial usage was a game: CryptoKitties. The game allows players to buy, collect, and sell virtual kitties, which are saved on blockchain as NFTs. Since the game’s debut in 2017, its creators - Dapper Labbs made over $40 million on it. 

CryptoKitties were the first game of this kind which started a whole new trend. Yet, the recent projects enabled us to unlock the true potential of NFT, which goes far beyond simple collectibles.

NFT and gaming assets 

Everywhere where users collect and trade virtual gaming assets, NFTs can highly improve their gaming experience. Essentially, they assure players about the authenticity and scarcity of gaming assets and allow them to keep full ownership of the purchased assets. 

As an example, let’s take multiplayer games like the aforementioned LOL or Fortnite. Possessed skins and champions are of great importance to the players. What if the players had complete control over the ownership rights to their game assets?

Play-to-earn gaming

Ok, all of that sounds tremendous. But what the whole industry is talking about are play-to-earn possibilities that NFTs bring. As creators of one of the top NFT games - God’s Unchained, say: “You don’t own assets if you can’t sell them”. This is the main idea behind the majority of NFT games right now. Their game itself is one of the projects that aim to enable players to earn on in-game assets saved as NFT. But how exactly do NFTs facilitate play-to-earn?

Let’s imagine an online card game where users unclocked new characters and equipment by participating in a quest and winning fights. What if they would like to sell their character? Many games of this type actually allowed players to do so. Yet, often it’s only possible in exchange for the game’s coins which don’t represent any real value. Furthermore, such coins are usually characterized by the same problem as any other in-game assets - players don’t possess any ownership rights to them.

As we mentioned before, NFTs are unique digital assets that represent encoded information about their identity and ownership. There is a thing with blockchain: changing such data requires consensus reached among every node. In practice, it means that NFTs can be considered as authenticity and ownership certificates of themselves. Moreover, every action involving NFT is extremely treatable and secured against fraud. 

Therefore, saving in-game assets as NFTs allowed players to possess ownership rights to them. Such assets can be traded on both internal and external marketplace. Sometimes for fiat currencies or popular cryptocurrencies, sometimes for the game’s native tokens, which then can be eventually exchanged for “real money”. This is how NFT may unlock true play-to-earn possibilities in numerous types of games. We listed just a few of them: 

Games’ native tokens are another phenomenon that deserves our attention. In contrast to the usual game’s coins, those tokens can be listed on external exchanges, and represent particular value even outside the game. Why? In case of their case, fungible tokens are used. Therefore, essentially we can speak about game-specific cryptocurrencies. What’s important for games’ creators, those tokens gain value, with the game ecosystem’s growth. 

Scarcity is nothing new for the gaming industry. Unique skins, armors, and other digital assets are commonly present in it almost from the begging. Through the years different markets have been created to facilitate users’ trade. Yet, there were always limitations. For example, usually direct exchanges to “real money” were impossible. NFT may change that for good. 

As we mentioned, gamming assets saved as NFT can be traded on both internal and external marketplace. The same goes to games’ native currencies. What’s important, this trade can be decentralized. 

It needs to be noted that behind video games stands an industry worth over $330 billion. Play-to-earn gaming my by a way to share part of this spectacular growth with players. 

The new generation of embed finance?

Although paying a real-life rant fee in game’s coins may sound absurd, it already happens. Axie Infinity is a blockchain game that enables players to earn native tokens by winning fights and selling avatars. Eventually, those tokens can be exchanged for other cryptocurrencies or fiat money on external exchanges. Therefore, without a doubt we can speak about the truly play-to-earn game.

Yet, what’s unique about Axis is the unpredicted implementation of the game’s native tokens that emerged in the Philippines, where the game has 40 % of its players. According to Sky Mavis for 25% of Axie's players, the game's wallet is the first financial service they’ve been able to access. Arianna Simpson, a partner at Andreessen Horowitz - one of Axie's main investors, claims that in some places in the Philippines people are even paying their rent with the game’s tokens.  

Most popular play-to-earn games

Play-to-earn games: Axie Infinity
Play-to-earn games: Axie Infinity

Axie Infinity

The public heard about Axie Infinity for the first time after the spectacular sale of a digital land plot. In February 2021, user Flying Falcon bought eight genesis plots worth approximately $1.5mln. This event may be considered a milestone for the NFT market. But what is so special about Axie Infinity?

Axie resembles Pokemon, but on a Blockchain. The core of the game is combat between cartoon characters - Axies. What differentiates Axies from Pokemons is the fact that they are NFTs stored on the game’s Blockchain. Essentially they are NFTs-based digital creatures.

To create new characters, players “breed” them using the game’s native token, which can be earned through the game or bought from an exchange. By selling Axies or winning fights, players earned the currencies. Then they can sell them on the open market, making a profit.

Currently, dedicated players earn as much as thousands of dollars a month playing Axie Infinity. 

Play-to-earn games: God's Unchained
Play-to-earn games: God's Unchained

God’s Unchained 

If you are up to date with the ICOs’ world, without a doubt, you’ve heard about Immutable X. Get to know the blockchain game created by its godfathers.

Gods Unchained is a trading card game that aims to give its players complete ownership over in-game items by using NFTs. Essentially its players collect digital playing card NFTs

Their motto is, “If you can’t sell your items, you don’t own them.” Thus the game allows users to sell their cards and other items for native GODS tokens, which can be exchanged for fiat money. 

It’s worth noting that God’s Unchained remains a free-to-play game. Cards can be unlocked simply by playing the game. Therefore Gods Unchained should be considered one of the truly play-to-earn games, which stands contrary to the standard model of gaming commerce.

Play-to-earn games: The Sandbox
Play-to-earn games: The Sandbox

The Sandbox

The Sandbox is one of the NFT-based games that created their own metaverses. To date, it is one of the most popular NFT games for creating and trading in-game assets.

Like Minecraft or Roblox, this NFT game is voxel-based and offers an excellent opportunity to free users’ creativity. The Sandbox provides them with tools for creating and animating NFT objects that can be used in-game or sold on designed markets. But that’s not all - on the platform, users can also develop and play their games. Since users are able to make real money on their creations, The Sandbox is another example of play to earn the game.

Does play-to-earn gamming predicts how metaverse will look like

It’s no secret that many NFT games describe themselves as blockchain-based metaverses. Just take Sandbox as an example. According to many similar models of transection that we can observe in NFT games will be also present in metaverses. Without a doubt, there are significant factors that make them suitable for that purpose. 

Business model for play-to-earn game
The business model for play-to-earn game

Implementing play-to-earn model

If you consider launching your own NFT game that will facilitate a play-to-earn model, you should be aware that its success requires skills and knowledge regarding both the technical and business sides of the Blockchain industry. That’s why many projects decide to hire an external blockchain company as a technological partner.

At Nextrope, we can call ourselves pioneers of Blockchain technology in CEE. We conducted one of the first tokenization in the world and since that we keep up to date with the industry. NFT games aren’t an exception. 

Do you want to know how Nextrope’s team can boost your NFT game on a new level? Feel free to contact our specialists who will gladly answer all your questions.

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Nextrope on Economic Forum 2024: Insights from the Event

Kajetan Olas

14 Sep 2024
Nextrope on Economic Forum 2024: Insights from the Event

The 33rd Economic Forum 2024, held in Karpacz, Poland, gathered leaders from across the globe to discuss the pressing economic and technological challenges. This year, the forum had a special focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI and Cybersecurity, bringing together leading experts and policymakers.

Nextrope was proud to participate in the Forum where we showcased our expertise and networked with leading minds in the AI and blockchain fields.

Economic Forum 2024: A Hub for Innovation and Collaboration

The Economic Forum in Karpacz is an annual event often referred to as the "Polish Davos," attracting over 6,000 participants, including heads of state, business leaders, academics, and experts. This year’s edition was held from September 3rd to 5th, 2024.

Key Highlights of the AI Forum and Cybersecurity Forum

The AI Forum and the VI Cybersecurity Forum were integral parts of the event, organized in collaboration with the Ministry of Digital Affairs and leading Polish universities, including:

  • Cracow University of Technology
  • University of Warsaw
  • Wrocław University of Technology
  • AGH University of Science and Technology
  • Poznań University of Technology

Objectives of the AI Forum

  • Promoting Education and Innovation: The forum aimed to foster education and spread knowledge about AI and solutions to enhance digital transformation in Poland and CEE..
  • Strengthening Digital Administration: The event supported the Ministry of Digital Affairs' mission to build and strengthen the digital administration of the Polish State, encouraging interdisciplinary dialogue on decentralized architecture.
  • High-Level Meetings: The forum featured closed meetings of digital ministers from across Europe, including a confirmed appearance by Volker Wissing, the German Minister for Digital Affairs.

Nextrope's Active Participation in the AI Forum

Nextrope's presence at the AI Forum was marked by our active engagement in various activities in the Cracow University of Technology and University of Warsaw zone. One of the discussion panels we enjoyed the most was "AI in education - threats and opportunities".

Our Key Activities

Networking with Leading AI and Cryptography Researchers.

Nextrope presented its contributions in the field of behavioral profilling in DeFi and established relationships with Cryptography Researchers from Cracow University of Technology and the brightest minds on Polish AI scene, coming from institutions such as Wroclaw University of Technology, but also from startups.

Panel Discussions and Workshops

Our team participated in several panel discussions, covering a variety of topics. Here are some of them

  • Polish Startup Scene.
  • State in the Blockchain Network
  • Artificial Intelligence - Threat or Opportunity for Healthcare?
  • Silicon Valley in Poland – Is it Possible?
  • Quantum Computing - How Is It Changing Our Lives?

Broadening Horizons

Besides tuning in to topics that strictly overlap with our professional expertise we decided to broaden our horizons and participated in panels about national security and cross-border cooperation.

Meeting with clients:

We had a pleasure to deepen relationships with our institutional clients and discuss plans for the future.

Networking with Experts in AI and Blockchain

A major highlight of the Economic Forum in Karpacz was the opportunity to network with experts from academia, industry, and government.

Collaborations with Academia:

We engaged with scholars from leading universities such as the Cracow University of Technology and the University of Warsaw. These interactions laid the groundwork for potential research collaborations and joint projects.

Building Strategic Partnerships:

Our team connected with industry leaders, exploring opportunities for partnerships in regard to building the future of education. We met many extremely smart, yet humble people interested in joining advisory board of one of our projects - HackZ.

Exchanging Knowledge with VCs and Policymakers:

We had fruitful discussions with policymakers and very knowledgable representatives of Venture Capital. The discussions revolved around blockchain and AI regulation, futuristic education methods and dillemas regarding digital transformation in companies. These exchanges provided us with very interesting insights as well as new friendships.

Looking Ahead: Nextrope's Future in AI and Blockchain

Nextrope's participation in the Economic Forum Karpacz 2024 has solidified our position as one of the leading, deep-tech software houses in CEE. By fostering connections with academia, industry experts, and policymakers, we are well-positioned to consult our clients on trends and regulatory needs as well as implementing cutting edge DeFi software.

What's Next for Nextrope?

Continuing Innovation:

We remain committed to developing cutting-edge software solutions and designing token economies that leverage the power of incentives and advanced cryptography.

Deepening Academic Collaborations:

The partnerships formed at the forum will help us stay at the forefront of technological advancements, particularly in AI and blockchain.

Expanding Our Global Reach:

The international connections made at the forum enable us to expand our influence both in CEE and outside of Europe. This reinforces Nextrope's status as a global leader in technology innovation.

If you're looking to create a robust blockchain system and go through institutional-grade testing please reach out to contact@nextrope.com. Our team is ready to help you with the token engineering process and ensure your project’s resilience in the long term.

Monte Carlo Simulations in Tokenomics

Kajetan Olas

01 May 2024
Monte Carlo Simulations in Tokenomics

As the web3 field grows in complexity, traditional analytical tools often fall short in capturing the dynamics of digital markets. This is where Monte Carlo simulations come into play, offering a mathematical technique to model systems fraught with uncertainty.

Monte Carlo simulations employ random sampling to understand probable outcomes in processes that are too complex for straightforward analytic solutions. By simulating thousands, or even millions, of scenarios, Monte Carlo methods can provide insights into the likelihood of different outcomes, helping stakeholders make informed decisions under conditions of uncertainty.

In this article, we will explore the role of Monte Carlo simulations within the context of tokenomics.  illustrating how they are employed to forecast market dynamics, assess risk, and optimize strategies in the volatile realm of cryptocurrencies. By integrating this powerful tool, businesses and investors can enhance their analytical capabilities, paving the way for more resilient and adaptable economic models in the digital age.

Understanding Monte Carlo Simulations

The Monte Carlo method is an approach to solving problems that involve random sampling to understand probable outcomes. This technique was first developed in the 1940s by scientists working on the atomic bomb during the Manhattan Project. The method was designed to simplify the complex simulations of neutron diffusion, but it has since evolved to address a broad spectrum of problems across various fields including finance, engineering, and research.

Random Sampling and Statistical Experimentation

At the heart of Monte Carlo simulations is the concept of random sampling from a probability distribution to compute results. This method does not seek a singular precise answer but rather a probability distribution of possible outcomes. By performing a large number of trials with random variables, these simulations mimic the real-life fluctuations and uncertainties inherent in complex systems.

Role of Randomness and Probability Distributions in Simulations

Monte Carlo simulations leverage the power of probability distributions to model potential scenarios in processes where exact outcomes cannot be determined due to uncertainty. Each simulation iteration uses randomly generated values that follow a specific statistical distribution to model different outcomes. This method allows analysts to quantify and visualize the probability of different scenarios occurring.

The strength of Monte Carlo simulations lies in the insight they offer into potential risks. They allow modelers to see into the probabilistic "what-if" scenarios that more closely mimic real-world conditions.

Monte Carlo Simulations in Tokenomics

Monte Carlo simulations are instrumental tool for token engineers. They're so useful due to their ability to model emergent behaviors. Here are some key areas where these simulations are applied:

Pricing and Valuation of Tokens

Determining the value of a new token can be challenging due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Monte Carlo simulations help by modeling various market scenarios and price fluctuations over time, allowing analysts to estimate a token's potential future value under different conditions.

Assessing Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior

Cryptocurrency markets are influenced by a myriad of factors including regulatory changes, technological advancements, and shifts in investor sentiment. Monte Carlo methods allow researchers to simulate these variables in an integrated environment to see how they might impact token economics, from overall market cap fluctuations to liquidity concerns.

Assesing Possible Risks

By running a large number of simulations it’s possible to stress-test the project in multiple scenarios and identify emergent risks. This is perhaps the most important function of Monte Carlo Process, since these risks can’t be assessed any other way.

Source: How to use Monte Carlo simulation for reliability analysis?

Benefits of Using Monte Carlo Simulations

By generating a range of possible outcomes and their probabilities, Monte Carlo simulations help decision-makers in the cryptocurrency space anticipate potential futures and make informed strategic choices. This capability is invaluable for planning token launches, managing supply mechanisms, and designing marketing strategies to optimize market penetration.

Using Monte Carlo simulations, stakeholders in the tokenomics field can not only understand and mitigate risks but also explore the potential impact of different strategic decisions. This predictive power supports more robust economic models and can lead to more stable and successful token launches. 

Implementing Monte Carlo Simulations

Several tools and software packages can facilitate the implementation of Monte Carlo simulations in tokenomics. One of the most notable is cadCAD, a Python library that provides a flexible and powerful environment for simulating complex systems. 

Overview of cadCAD configuration Components

To better understand how Monte Carlo simulations work in practice, let’s take a look at the cadCAD code snippet:

sim_config = {

    'T': range(200),  # number of timesteps

    'N': 3,           # number of Monte Carlo runs

    'M': params       # model parameters

}

Explanation of Simulation Configuration Components

T: Number of Time Steps

  • Definition: The 'T' parameter in CadCAD configurations specifies the number of time steps the simulation should execute. Each time step represents one iteration of the model, during which the system is updated. That update is based on various rules defined by token engineers in other parts of the code. For example: we might assume that one iteration = one day, and define data-based functions that predict token demand on that day.

N: Number of Monte Carlo Runs

  • Definition: The 'N' parameter sets the number of Monte Carlo runs. Each run represents a complete execution of the simulation from start to finish, using potentially different random seeds for each run. This is essential for capturing variability and understanding the distribution of possible outcomes. For example, we can acknowledge that token’s price will be correlated with the broad cryptocurrency market, which acts somewhat unpredictably.

M: Model Parameters

  • Definition: The 'M' key contains the model parameters, which are variables that influence system's behavior but do not change dynamically with each time step. These parameters can be constants or distributions that are used within the policy and update functions to model the external and internal factors affecting the system.

Importance of These Components

Together, these components define the skeleton of your Monte Carlo simulation in CadCAD. The combination of multiple time steps and Monte Carlo runs allows for a comprehensive exploration of the stochastic nature of the modeled system. By varying the number of timesteps (T) and runs (N), you can adjust the depth and breadth of the exploration, respectively. The parameters (M) provide the necessary context and ensure that each simulation is realistic.

Messy graph representing Monte Carlo simulation, source: Bitcoin Monte Carlo Simulation

Conclusion

Monte Carlo simulations represent a powerful analytical tool in the arsenal of token engineers. By leveraging the principles of statistics, these simulations provide deep insights into the complex dynamics of token-based systems. This method allows for a nuanced understanding of potential future scenarios and helps with making informed decisions.

We encourage all stakeholders in the blockchain and cryptocurrency space to consider implementing Monte Carlo simulations. The insights gained from such analytical techniques can lead to more effective and resilient economic models, paving the way for the sustainable growth and success of digital currencies.

If you're looking to create a robust tokenomics model and go through institutional-grade testing please reach out to contact@nextrope.com. Our team is ready to help you with the token engineering process and ensure your project’s resilience in the long term.

FAQ

What is a Monte Carlo simulation in tokenomics context?

  • It's a mathematical method that uses random sampling to predict uncertain outcomes.

What are the benefits of using Monte Carlo simulations in tokenomics?

  • These simulations help foresee potential market scenarios, aiding in strategic planning and risk management for token launches.

Why are Monte Carlo simulations unique in cryptocurrency analysis?

  • They provide probabilistic outcomes rather than fixed predictions, effectively simulating real-world market variability and risk.