Token Utility: Balancing Supply, Demand, and Velocity

Kajetan Olas

14 Mar 2024
Token Utility: Balancing Supply, Demand, and Velocity

This article embarks on a journey through the multifaceted landscape of token utility. It dissects the influence of supply, demand, and velocity. We include practical information that can be utilized during the process of crypto assets valuation.

The Supply Side: Scarcity and Abundance

The concept of scarcity as a value driver is deeply rooted in human psychology; it's what transforms simple metals into precious commodities. In the realm of cryptocurrencies, this principle has been adopted with fervor, giving rise to the "digital gold" narrative. Let's delve into how supply shapes the world of token utility and the broader implications it holds.

Fixed Supply and Deflationary Models

  • The Allure of Limitation: Crypto-architects often imbue their tokens with a fixed supply, aiming to mimic the scarcity of resources like gold. This artificial scarcity is designed to create a deflationary environment. It holds the premise that as demand escalates, so too will the value for the lucky holders.
  • Scarcity and Value: The perceived value of supply-limited tokens is based on a simple market principle. When an item is rare, and demand outstrips supply, prices should theoretically rise. This underpins the investment cases for many cryptocurrencies.

Token Sinks and Their Limitations

  • Combatting Inflation: Token sinks, such as burning and staking, are strategic maneuvers employed to curtail supply actively. The logic is straightforward: decrease supply to bolster value.
  • A Closer Inspection: While reducing the token count through sinks may initially drive up value, it's not a panacea. Such tactics provide only temporary relief in the face of absent or low token utility.
  • Sustainable Scarcity: Tokens should have intrinsic value. There must be a reason for users to hold it beyond the mere expectation of appreciation due to scarcity. Without real-world utility or a compelling use case, scarcity alone may not sustain the long-term value of a token.

In the still-maturing world of blockchain economies, the supply of tokens is but one piece of the puzzle. In the subsequent sections, we'll explore how demand and velocity interact to form the complete picture of tokenomics.

Creating and Sustaining Demand

The true test for any cryptocurrency is not just its scarcity but the demand for it in the market. Demand is the engine that drives the token's acceptance and value.

Utility-Driven Demand

  • Beyond Speculation: While speculative trading can inflate prices temporarily, lasting demand is fueled by a token's utility. This includes its use in transactions, its role in governance, or its ability to grant access to certain services or rewards within its ecosystem.
  • Real-World Applications: The more a token can be used for real-world purposes, the more essential it becomes. Tokens that solve genuine problems or enhance the user experience in noticeable ways tend to cultivate more sustainable demand.

Understanding Velocity in the Token Economy

The concept of velocity in token economics often remains underappreciated, yet it is a vital factor in the valuation and stability of a cryptocurrency.

The Relationship Between Velocity and Value

  • Defining Velocity: Velocity is the rate at which a token changes hands in an economy. A high velocity means the token is frequently traded, which can suggest a thriving economy or, conversely, indicate a lack of incentive to hold the token long-term.
  • Impact on Token Value: While traditional economies aim for a balanced velocity of money, the crypto economy faces unique challenges that can make high velocity a sign of instability.

The Misapplication of MV = PQ in Crypto Valuations

  • Classical Economics Meets Crypto: The MV = PQ equation, while a mainstay in traditional economics, doesn't neatly apply to the decentralized and often speculative nature of cryptocurrencies.

When velocity is too high, it indicates that tokens are not held onto, which can suggest a lack of compelling reasons to keep the token for long-term value. On the other hand, extremely low velocity can signal a stagnant market or hoarding behavior, where tokens are not being used for their intended purpose, thus hindering the ecosystem's activity and growth.

To manage velocity effectively, developers can introduce features like time-locked contracts to reward longer holds or implement burn-and-mint mechanisms that adjust the token supply relative to its use in transactions. Also, by aligning token utility with the platform's growth—such as through loyalty programs or tiered services—users are encouraged to engage with the token economically, increasing its velocity in a controlled and beneficial manner.

Balancing the Three Pillars

Creating a successful token requires more than just technical prowess; it necessitates a nuanced understanding of economic principles and market behavior. Achieving an equilibrium between supply, demand, and velocity is akin to finding the perfect pitch in a complex symphony.

Designing for Sustainability

Strategic planning is the bedrock of sustainable token design. It involves implementing adaptive supply mechanisms that respond to the natural ebb and flow of the market. These mechanisms must discourage harmful practices like hoarding during bull runs or panic selling during downturns, which can create swings in token velocity. A great example of a blockchain with adaptive governance is Ethereum.

Utility must be at the forefront of a token's design — it must offer something of real value. Whether it's through enabling seamless transactions, allowing holders to participate in governance, or providing access to exclusive services, utility ensures that a token remains in demand.

A supportive and engaged community is also a hallmark of a balanced token economy. When token holders feel they are part of the project's journey, they're more likely to use the token as intended rather than speculate on its price. This sentiment can help stabilize the velocity, as the community-driven use of the token creates a steady stream of transactions.

Conclusion

Token utility is not just a buzzword; it's the heartbeat of any cryptocurrency's value proposition. It stands as the crucial element in balancing the triad of supply, demand, and velocity. In this exploration, we've uncovered that while scarcity can bolster value, it is the token's real-world use and the economic incentives it creates that sustain demand and manage velocity. 

Cryptocurrency is not a static field; it's an ever-shifting landscape that requires agility and foresight. As we continue to push the boundaries of what blockchain can achieve, we also continue to learn, adapt, and grow. Token utility, when deeply integrated and thoughtfully executed, remains the linchpin of this vibrant and burgeoning economy.

FAQ

How to manage token supply?

  • Employ scarcity tactics like burning tokens to reduce supply and staking mechanisms to lock tokens temporarily, balancing the supply to increase value.

How to address velocity's impact?

  • Mitigate high velocity's potential to decrease value by incentivizing longer holding periods or creating utilities that encourage users to circulate tokens more slowly.

What's the most important pillar?

  • All are important, but in our opinion, the demand has the biggest influence over the project's success.

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Aethir Tokenomics – Case Study

Kajetan Olas

22 Nov 2024
Aethir Tokenomics – Case Study

Authors of the contents are not affiliated to the reviewed project in any way and none of the information presented should be taken as financial advice.

In this article we analyze tokenomics of Aethir - a project providing on-demand cloud compute resources for the AI, Gaming, and virtualized compute sectors.
Aethir aims to aggregate enterprise-grade GPUs from multiple providers into a DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network). Its competitive edge comes from utlizing the GPUs for very specific use-cases, such as low-latency rendering for online games.
Due to decentralized nature of its infrastructure Aethir can meet the demands of online-gaming in any region. This is especially important for some gamer-abundant regions in Asia with underdeveloped cloud infrastructure that causes high latency ("lags").
We will analyze Aethir's tokenomics, give our opinion on what was done well, and provide specific recommendations on how to improve it.

Evaluation Summary

Aethir Tokenomics Structure

The total supply of ATH tokens is capped at 42 billion ATH. This fixed cap provides a predictable supply environment, and the complete emissions schedule is listed here. As of November 2024 there are approximately 5.2 Billion ATH in circulation. In a year from now (November 2025), the circulating supply will almost triple, and will amount to approximately 15 Billion ATH. By November 2028, today's circulating supply will be diluted by around 86%.

From an investor standpoint the rational decision would be to stake their tokens and hope for rewards that will balance the inflation. Currently the estimated APR for 3-year staking is 195% and for 4-year staking APR is 261%. The rewards are paid out weekly. Furthermore, stakers can expect to get additional rewards from partnered AI projects.

Staking Incentives

Rewards are calculated based on the staking duration and staked amount. These factors are equally important and they linearly influence weekly rewards. This means that someone who stakes 100 ATH for 2 weeks will have the same weekly rewards as someone who stakes 200 ATH for 1 week. This mechanism greatly emphasizes long-term holding. That's because holding a token makes sense only if you go for long-term staking. E.g. a whale staking $200k with 1 week lockup. will have the same weekly rewards as person staking $1k with 4 year lockup. Furthermore the ATH staking rewards are fixed and divided among stakers. Therefore Increase of user base is likely to come with decrease in rewards.
We believe the main weak-point of Aethirs staking is the lack of equivalency between rewards paid out to the users and value generated for the protocol as a result of staking.

Token Distribution

The token distribution of $ATH is well designed and comes with long vesting time-frames. 18-month cliff and 36-moths subsequent linear vesting is applied to team's allocation. This is higher than industry standard and is a sign of long-term commitment.

  • Checkers and Compute Providers: 50%
  • Ecosystem: 15%
  • Team: 12.5%
  • Investors: 11.5%
  • Airdrop: 6%
  • Advisors: 5%

Aethir's airdrop is divided into 3 phases to ensure that only loyal users get rewarded. This mechanism is very-well thought and we rate it highly. It fosters high community engagement within the first months of the project and sets the ground for potentially giving more-control to the DAO.

Governance and Community-Led Development

Aethir’s governance model promotes community-led decision-making in a very practical way. Instead of rushing with creation of a DAO for PR and marketing purposes Aethir is trying to make it the right way. They support projects building on their infrastructure and regularly share updates with their community in the most professional manner.

We believe Aethir would benefit from implementing reputation boosted voting. An example of such system is described here. The core assumption is to abandon the simplistic: 1 token = 1 vote and go towards: Votes = tokens * reputation_based_multiplication_factor.

In the attached example, reputation_based_multiplication_factor rises exponentially with the number of standard deviations above norm, with regard to user's rating. For compute compute providers at Aethir, user's rating could be replaced by provider's uptime.

Perspectives for the future

While it's important to analyze aspects such as supply-side tokenomics, or governance, we must keep in mind that 95% of project's success depends on demand-side. In this regard the outlook for Aethir may be very bright. The project declares $36M annual reccuring revenue. Revenue like this is very rare in the web3 space. Many projects are not able to generate any revenue after succesfull ICO event, due to lack fo product-market-fit.

If you're looking to create a robust tokenomics model and go through institutional-grade testing please reach out to contact@nextrope.com. Our team is ready to help you with the token engineering process and ensure your project’s resilience in the long term.

Nextrope Partners with Hacken to Enhance Blockchain Security

Miłosz

21 Nov 2024
Nextrope Partners with Hacken to Enhance Blockchain Security

Nextrope announces a strategic partnership with Hacken, a renowned blockchain security auditor. It marks a significant step in delivering reliable decentralized solutions. After several successful collaborations resulting in flawless smart contract audits, the alliance solidifies the synergy between Nextrope's innovative blockchain development and Hacken's top-tier security auditing services. Together, we aim to set new benchmarks, ensuring that security is an integral part of blockchain technology.

Strengthening Blockchain Security

The partnership aims to fortify the security protocols within blockchain ecosystems. By integrating Hacken's comprehensive security audits with Nextrope's cutting-edge blockchain solutions, we are poised to offer unparalleled security features in our projects.

"Blockchain security should never be an afterthought"

"Our partnership with Hacken underscores our dedication to embedding security at the core of our blockchain solutions. Together, we're building a safer future for the industry."

said Mateusz Mach, CEO of Nextrope

About Nextrope

Nextrope is a forward-thinking blockchain development house specializing in creating innovative solutions for businesses worldwide. With a team of experienced developers and blockchain experts, Nextrope delivers high-quality, scalable, and secure blockchain applications tailored to meet the unique needs of each client.

About Hacken

Hacken is a leading blockchain security auditor known for its rigorous smart contract audits and security assessments. With a mission to make the industry safer, Hacken provides complex security services that help companies identify and mitigate vulnerabilities in their applications.

Looking Ahead

As a joint mission, both Nextrope and Hacken are committed to continuous innovation. We look forward to the exciting opportunities this partnership will bring and are eager to implement a more secure blockchain environment for all.

For more information, please contact:

Nextrope

Hacken

Join us on our journey to deliver top-notch blockchain tech and a safer future for the industry!