Application born from frustration

Maciej Zieliński

11 Dec 2019
Application born from frustration
Julia Wolińska

Several dozen years ago, making purchases with a debit card was just a dream on the Polish market; without a wad of cash making a bigger transaction was futile. A dozen years ago, making a money transfer was preceded by a lengthy authorisation process. The frustration connected with a trip to one of the few available bank agencies was only surpassed by the one caused by standing in a long queue in a hospital. Several years ago, in order to pay while abroad, we needed to equip ourselves with a massive amount of cash in a currency exchange bureau. That is, unless we wished to face a costly currency conversion fees in the bank

How come then, that in a matter of several seasons we learned to uninstall payment apps if they do notfit our visual criteria? For banks and start-ups this is not a mere requirement, but a chance. The discussion concerning the “beauty contest” for the financial apps is more vivid than ever. UX (User Experience) and UI (User Interface) are bound to become a distinguishing factor in the era of PSD2 directive. Where does the success lie? Today, we are going to compare three different ways of designing the UX and UI in the financial apps.

The difference lies in the Fintechs

Financial services based on the information technology are experiencing their boom, though the specialists agree that it’s just the beginning. In the last year, only in the United States there has been a significant increase in the revenue of the fintech companies, even reaching the impressive 43% in reference to the prior year which translates into an incredible growth by 12.4 billion dollars. All it tookwas one year.

Not only are the modern solutions simpler, more comfortable and safer than those which previous generations got used to, but they are also far more personalized and nicer to use. It’s the app interfaces,credit cards and modern solutions which are meticulously prepared and tailored for the needs of the present-day user which stand behind the successes of the popularity of fintechs like “Revolut” or “N26Wygoda”.

It’s the comfort and the elegance of the utility which triumphed even over the superstitions against the payment with our phones. The fintechs have shown us a different way and they made a basis for a better standard.

Demands of the spoiled Millennials... or the visionary call for a change?

Together with the development of the modern technologies, the demands of the users of mobile devices have increased. We can criticize the current generation of young adults for being too reliant onpersonal comfort, but we can conjointly agree that their cries for an improvement has benefited us all. Online banking and payment systems have stopped being only utility based; they have become an aesthetic and enjoyable experience. We have reached a situation where the amount of savings on our credit card or the financial app is not the only signifier of prestige.

Thinking different about the UX/UI of financial services

Design is just the tip of an iceberg if its coincidental. Most companies need a fresh approach to create new products or improve the existing ones. Nothing illustrates it better than the Apple Card. When weare holding the card in our hands, we realise that its visually appealing and it has many interesting utilities, however this perception is too shallow.

It’s fascinating that Apple, unlike any other company is capable of doing the same thing so effectively. They combine known features without adding anything which is normally deemed necessary and then make a value proposition from it. The critics look down upon the card, saying that it lacks the NFC service. However, the piece of titanium with Goldman Sachs sign written over it, was never meant to be used for the contactless payment. You need to use it in the hotels reception, show it after the luxurious meal in the restaurant. You will do that, despite receiving a lower cashback than by using a phone to pay. The companies underestimate the power of beauty and prestige behind their products. Apple has created a better card than any other company not because it was innovative, but because it’s a product tailored towards their very own customer. The company perfectly reads their own clients when it realises that their needs lie in the sensation and feel of the aesthetic prestige.

Revolut – fintech technologies which molded the european market

One of the major pioneers that revolutionized the payment system is Revolut. Fintech was introduced to the Polish market in 2017 and it definitely won the hearts of our countrymen. While the banks are swearing that everything is under their control, the start-up has announced that they reached their first million of clients.

After the introduction of Revolut, many of the comforts it offered were revolutionary in Polish perception. Suddenly, we started using the foreign currency accounts which always used the beneficialconversion rates. Creating a new bank account suddenly became a cakewalk, unlike what was offered by our native banks, because of the well-rounded, neatly organised UI and UX of the app. The verification process is swiftly handled by the KYC procedures; thanks to them it took only one evening for our account to be made. The card arrived to the recipient only after a few business days. All without the damaged envelopes and redundant terms of service written in an unidentified legal terminology. All it took was a simple, elegant container which reminded the recipient of the Apple designs. Simplicity and enjoyment was the key, unlike the wonky CX (Customer Experience) of the bank accounts.

In the first half of 2018 there were 1.7 million financial start up clients and after only a year the number has grown to almost 4 million.

UX/UI design lessons from the Revolut

The advantage of Revolut wasn’t solely made by the ease of account creation or the free card distribution. Its success was decided by well thought and planned design. The clear and easy to read login screen (which can be unlocked by the usage of fingerprints or the personal code), easily readable main page and intuitive marking, everything is in touch with the key rules of UI design. The user is not distracted by the unnecessary visual elements. Big, contrasting key icons lead you to the most important functions such as making a wire transfer or checking the transaction story. What’s important is that Revolut has designed his app around the responsive grid which is following the rules of Material Design. It allows for optimal utilisation of the app no matter what resolution is allowed by the size of your mobile device.

It’s an art of designing a simple app. Revolut is minimalist but cosy and visually appealing, and unlike its rival apps it doesn’t come off as a cheap knock off. Even the simplest icon placement can make a huge difference in the art of designing the financial app

To design a newsletter

The communication with the clients is a cherry on top in establishing a good financial app. Bland, repetitive newsletters are often soulless automated responses which are sent to thousands of clients. Adaptation to the newest trends in the field of effective marketing allowed fintech to create an illusion that it doesn’t have to be that way. Its not a handwritten letter, but enough to keep the modern recipientengaged. Following the design notes of the app, we are faced with an easily readable, simple CTA, coherent design of keys or well refined microcopy. The elements are repeatable, which makes the user utilize the app instinctively after getting a hold of it. A coherent colour code reduces the reaction time to minimum. “Straight to the point”- this strategy of the brands language creates a sense of security, because the communication with the company feels sincere and accessible.

Fintech solutions in Polish banks

The trend was quickly picked up by our native banks. For the last several years they focused on optimising the payment procedures and the UX/UI of the mobile devices. Its not surprising as over 9 million of Poles have claimed that they are using the financial apps. However, finding the balance between the minimalism and utility of the interface is the biggest problem yet for the designers.

What is more, a well balanced app of the financial start-up or bank is that which is more readable and user friendly than native apps of the social medias. Now we are going to compare three methods of designing the UX and UI.

mBanks’ innovative mobile app

The clients usually do not take their time to time analyse the banking apps, unlike us of course. mBankcreated an app which, at first glance, meets all the modern design notes in the field of UI and UX.

Instead of trying to bombard the user with features, we receive clear section with consistent colouring. Not only can you easily make your money transfer, but also you can easily access the transaction story. The app is highly responsive on pretty much every single mobile device, the optimisation level will satisfy even the tablet users.

The most important icons are easily reachable by your thumb, they lie in a so-called “thumb zone”, which unfortunately isn’t the standard yet. The app was also designed on a clear grid, and the buttons generally follow the standard dimensions of 44x44 which is the size which is deemed the most comfortable to press on the screen.

There are two main reasons why you are clicking your banking app: to check your accounts’ balance and to make a money transfer. In mBank, the balance is the first, most visible element upon logging in.With only three quick clicks you can access the app and make your money transfer. The most important button which allows you to do so covers most of the space of the screen and has a bright, easily distinguishable colour.

PKO- world’s leading app design

If you want to insult a banker, tell him that the Polish banking system is out of touch and redundant. Consecutive competitions are proving that it’s just a harmful, slandering label. The IKO app which belongs to PKO Bank Polski was nominated as the best banking app... in the world! Twice in a row! This wondrous utility is used by almost 4 million people.

The tests easily show why the app is so highly regarded. A clear interface held in a toned down colour scheme allows you to access the most important functions without breaking a sweat.

The app takes full advantage of the technological advancements and innovation. Paying is made much easier because of the ability to scan a special code to make the transaction immediately. The IKO design doesn’t utilise micro interactions, animations and it doesn’t overwhelm the user with fancy decorations. However, this doesn’t mean the design is lacking in any way, the app was planned to be targeted at every eligible age group. The app is far more readable for the elderly age groups, because itcorresponds to the desktop version far more than any other banking app. Its apparent that mobile banking is not only used by the millennials.

The most commonly used functions, like making the money transfer were highlighted with a contrasting blue colour. The size of the buttons doesn’t suggest you the hierarchy of the choice of actions. Even before checking the app out, we suspected that it will have a standard hamburger menu, situated on the upper left corner. It’s a typical technique when we want to enforce a safe design which can be easily readable by every type of user

Credit Agricole, French elegance and... the very first dark mode

Messenger, iOS, Slack... each and every one of those app utilises the dark mode, which has become the leading standard in the design of the mobile apps. The mobile app of Credit Agricole follows a much different approach towards the design of UI than the IKO app. It’s much more different when compared to its desktop version.

Half-transparent buttons, elegant and minimalist design of the icons, micro interactions and micro animations all contribute to great enjoyment in learning and using the app. Of course at first its going to be a little puzzling for the older audience and the people who are less versed in the world of mobile goodies. The advanced features are hidden in the interface, so while the app seems simple, there is more than meets the eye here. What’s interesting, Credit Agricole doesn’t force the choice of options onto its user. The money transfer, transaction history or the recipient list icons have the same size and coloration. The most distinctive element of the hamburger menu is the “my products” options which isdeemed the most important and so it’s the easiest one to locate. However, the thumb-zone of the app islimited by the icons situated in the upper corner of the app. Had they been placed in the more accessible space, the app could be used entirely with your thumb.

Well designed UX/UI is a key to success!

intech is about to experience a very intense, yet productive period. We will be able to choose from many different ways of how to design the mobile apps revolving around the domain of banking. We will surely witness the rise of humble start-ups which are going to take the world of mobile banking bya storm. We will be capable of creating an enjoyable experience for millions of mobile users which will be tailored to their needs. We are faced with a chance of reimagining the once unpleasant chore of interaction with the bank into an enjoyable, easily accessible experience.

After all, designing a marvellous UX and UI is a part of designing a positive experience of any mobile user!

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Monte Carlo Simulations in Tokenomics

Kajetan Olas

01 May 2024
Monte Carlo Simulations in Tokenomics

As the web3 field grows in complexity, traditional analytical tools often fall short in capturing the dynamics of digital markets. This is where Monte Carlo simulations come into play, offering a mathematical technique to model systems fraught with uncertainty.

Monte Carlo simulations employ random sampling to understand probable outcomes in processes that are too complex for straightforward analytic solutions. By simulating thousands, or even millions, of scenarios, Monte Carlo methods can provide insights into the likelihood of different outcomes, helping stakeholders make informed decisions under conditions of uncertainty.

In this article, we will explore the role of Monte Carlo simulations within the context of tokenomics.  illustrating how they are employed to forecast market dynamics, assess risk, and optimize strategies in the volatile realm of cryptocurrencies. By integrating this powerful tool, businesses and investors can enhance their analytical capabilities, paving the way for more resilient and adaptable economic models in the digital age.

Understanding Monte Carlo Simulations

The Monte Carlo method is an approach to solving problems that involve random sampling to understand probable outcomes. This technique was first developed in the 1940s by scientists working on the atomic bomb during the Manhattan Project. The method was designed to simplify the complex simulations of neutron diffusion, but it has since evolved to address a broad spectrum of problems across various fields including finance, engineering, and research.

Random Sampling and Statistical Experimentation

At the heart of Monte Carlo simulations is the concept of random sampling from a probability distribution to compute results. This method does not seek a singular precise answer but rather a probability distribution of possible outcomes. By performing a large number of trials with random variables, these simulations mimic the real-life fluctuations and uncertainties inherent in complex systems.

Role of Randomness and Probability Distributions in Simulations

Monte Carlo simulations leverage the power of probability distributions to model potential scenarios in processes where exact outcomes cannot be determined due to uncertainty. Each simulation iteration uses randomly generated values that follow a specific statistical distribution to model different outcomes. This method allows analysts to quantify and visualize the probability of different scenarios occurring.

The strength of Monte Carlo simulations lies in the insight they offer into potential risks. They allow modelers to see into the probabilistic "what-if" scenarios that more closely mimic real-world conditions.

Monte Carlo Simulations in Tokenomics

Monte Carlo simulations are instrumental tool for token engineers. They're so useful due to their ability to model emergent behaviors. Here are some key areas where these simulations are applied:

Pricing and Valuation of Tokens

Determining the value of a new token can be challenging due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Monte Carlo simulations help by modeling various market scenarios and price fluctuations over time, allowing analysts to estimate a token's potential future value under different conditions.

Assessing Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior

Cryptocurrency markets are influenced by a myriad of factors including regulatory changes, technological advancements, and shifts in investor sentiment. Monte Carlo methods allow researchers to simulate these variables in an integrated environment to see how they might impact token economics, from overall market cap fluctuations to liquidity concerns.

Assesing Possible Risks

By running a large number of simulations it’s possible to stress-test the project in multiple scenarios and identify emergent risks. This is perhaps the most important function of Monte Carlo Process, since these risks can’t be assessed any other way.

Source: How to use Monte Carlo simulation for reliability analysis?

Benefits of Using Monte Carlo Simulations

By generating a range of possible outcomes and their probabilities, Monte Carlo simulations help decision-makers in the cryptocurrency space anticipate potential futures and make informed strategic choices. This capability is invaluable for planning token launches, managing supply mechanisms, and designing marketing strategies to optimize market penetration.

Using Monte Carlo simulations, stakeholders in the tokenomics field can not only understand and mitigate risks but also explore the potential impact of different strategic decisions. This predictive power supports more robust economic models and can lead to more stable and successful token launches. 

Implementing Monte Carlo Simulations

Several tools and software packages can facilitate the implementation of Monte Carlo simulations in tokenomics. One of the most notable is cadCAD, a Python library that provides a flexible and powerful environment for simulating complex systems. 

Overview of cadCAD configuration Components

To better understand how Monte Carlo simulations work in practice, let’s take a look at the cadCAD code snippet:

sim_config = {

    'T': range(200),  # number of timesteps

    'N': 3,           # number of Monte Carlo runs

    'M': params       # model parameters

}

Explanation of Simulation Configuration Components

T: Number of Time Steps

  • Definition: The 'T' parameter in CadCAD configurations specifies the number of time steps the simulation should execute. Each time step represents one iteration of the model, during which the system is updated. That update is based on various rules defined by token engineers in other parts of the code. For example: we might assume that one iteration = one day, and define data-based functions that predict token demand on that day.

N: Number of Monte Carlo Runs

  • Definition: The 'N' parameter sets the number of Monte Carlo runs. Each run represents a complete execution of the simulation from start to finish, using potentially different random seeds for each run. This is essential for capturing variability and understanding the distribution of possible outcomes. For example, we can acknowledge that token’s price will be correlated with the broad cryptocurrency market, which acts somewhat unpredictably.

M: Model Parameters

  • Definition: The 'M' key contains the model parameters, which are variables that influence system's behavior but do not change dynamically with each time step. These parameters can be constants or distributions that are used within the policy and update functions to model the external and internal factors affecting the system.

Importance of These Components

Together, these components define the skeleton of your Monte Carlo simulation in CadCAD. The combination of multiple time steps and Monte Carlo runs allows for a comprehensive exploration of the stochastic nature of the modeled system. By varying the number of timesteps (T) and runs (N), you can adjust the depth and breadth of the exploration, respectively. The parameters (M) provide the necessary context and ensure that each simulation is realistic.

Messy graph representing Monte Carlo simulation, source: Bitcoin Monte Carlo Simulation

Conclusion

Monte Carlo simulations represent a powerful analytical tool in the arsenal of token engineers. By leveraging the principles of statistics, these simulations provide deep insights into the complex dynamics of token-based systems. This method allows for a nuanced understanding of potential future scenarios and helps with making informed decisions.

We encourage all stakeholders in the blockchain and cryptocurrency space to consider implementing Monte Carlo simulations. The insights gained from such analytical techniques can lead to more effective and resilient economic models, paving the way for the sustainable growth and success of digital currencies.

If you're looking to create a robust tokenomics model and go through institutional-grade testing please reach out to contact@nextrope.com. Our team is ready to help you with the token engineering process and ensure your project’s resilience in the long term.

FAQ

What is a Monte Carlo simulation in tokenomics context?

  • It's a mathematical method that uses random sampling to predict uncertain outcomes.

What are the benefits of using Monte Carlo simulations in tokenomics?

  • These simulations help foresee potential market scenarios, aiding in strategic planning and risk management for token launches.

Why are Monte Carlo simulations unique in cryptocurrency analysis?

  • They provide probabilistic outcomes rather than fixed predictions, effectively simulating real-world market variability and risk.

Behavioral Economics in Token Design

Kajetan Olas

22 Apr 2024
Behavioral Economics in Token Design

Behavioral economics is a field that explores the effects of psychological factors on economic decision-making. This branch of study is especially pertinent while designing a token since user perception can significantly impact a token's adoption.

We will delve into how token design choices, such as staking yields, token inflation, and lock-up periods, influence consumer behavior. Research studies reveal that the most significant factor for a token's attractiveness isn’t its functionality, but its past price performance. This underscores the impact of speculative factors. Tokens that have shown previous price increases are preferred over those with more beneficial economic features.

Understanding Behavioral Tokenomics

Understanding User Motivations

The design of a cryptocurrency token can significantly influence user behavior by leveraging common cognitive biases and decision-making processes. For instance, the concept of "scarcity" can create a perceived value increase, prompting users to buy or hold a token in anticipation of future gains. Similarly, "loss aversion," a foundational principle of behavioral economics, suggests that the pain of losing is psychologically more impactful than the pleasure of an equivalent gain. In token design, mechanisms that minimize perceived losses (e.g. anti-dumping measures) can encourage long-term holding.

Incentives and Rewards

Behavioral economics also provides insight into how incentives can be structured to maximize user participation. Cryptocurrencies often use tokens as a form of reward for various behaviors, including mining, staking, or participating in governance through voting. The way these rewards are framed and distributed can greatly affect their effectiveness. For example, offering tokens as rewards for achieving certain milestones can tap into the 'endowment effect,' where people ascribe more value to things simply because they own them.

Social Proof and Network Effects

Social proof, where individuals copy the behavior of others, plays a crucial role in the adoption of tokens. Tokens that are seen being used and promoted by influential figures within the community can quickly gain traction, as new users emulate successful investors. The network effect further amplifies this, where the value of a token increases as more people start using it. This can be seen in the rapid growth of tokens like Ethereum, where the broad adoption of its smart contract functionality created a snowball effect, attracting even more developers and users.

Token Utility and Behavioral Levers

The utility of a token—what it can be used for—is also crucial. Tokens designed to offer real-world applications beyond mere financial speculation can provide more stable value retention. Integrating behavioral economics into utility design involves creating tokens that not only serve practical purposes but also resonate on an emotional level with users, encouraging engagement and investment. For example, tokens that offer governance rights might appeal to users' desire for control and influence within a platform, encouraging them to hold rather than sell.

Understanding Behavioral Tokenomics

Intersection of Behavioral Economics and Tokenomics

Behavioral economics examines how psychological influences, various biases, and the way in which information is framed affect individual decisions. In tokenomics, these factors can significantly impact the success or failure of a cryptocurrency by influencing user behavior towards investment

Influence of Psychological Factors on Token Attraction

A recent study observed that the attractiveness of a token often hinges more on its historical price performance than on intrinsic benefits like yield returns or innovative economic models. This emphasizes the fact that the cryptocurrency sector is still young, and therefore subject to speculative behaviors

The Effect of Presentation and Context

Another interesting finding from the study is the impact of how tokens are presented. In scenarios where tokens are evaluated separately, the influence of their economic attributes on consumer decisions is minimal. However, when tokens are assessed side by side, these attributes become significantly more persuasive. This highlights the importance of context in economic decision-making—a core principle of behavioral economics. It’s easy to translate this into real-life example - just think about the concept of staking yields. When told that the yield on e.g. Cardano is 5% you might not think much of it. But, if you were simultaneously told that Anchor’s yield is 19%, then that 5% seems like a tragic deal.

Implications for Token Designers

The application of behavioral economics to the design of cryptocurrency tokens involves leveraging human psychology to encourage desired behaviors. Here are several core principles of behavioral economics and how they can be effectively utilized in token design:

Leveraging Price Performance

Studies show clearly: “price going up” tends to attract users more than most other token attributes. This finding implies that token designers need to focus on strategies that can showcase their economic effects in the form of price increases. This means that e.g. it would be more beneficial to conduct a buy-back program than to conduct an airdrop.

Scarcity and Perceived Value

Scarcity triggers a sense of urgency and increases perceived value. Cryptocurrency tokens can be designed to have a limited supply, mimicking the scarcity of resources like gold. This not only boosts the perceived rarity and value of the tokens but also drives demand due to the "fear of missing out" (FOMO). By setting a cap on the total number of tokens, developers can create a natural scarcity that may encourage early adoption and long-term holding.

Initial Supply Considerations

The initial supply represents the number of tokens that are available in circulation immediately following the token's launch. The chosen number can influence early market perceptions. For instance, a large initial supply might suggest a lower value per token, which could attract speculators. Data shows that tokens with low nominal value are highly volatile and generally underperform. Understanding how the initial supply can influence investor behavior is important for ensuring the token's stability.

Managing Maximum Supply and Inflation

A finite maximum supply can safeguard the token against inflation, potentially enhancing its value by ensuring scarcity. On the other hand, the inflation rate, which defines the pace at which new tokens are introduced, influences the token's value and user trust.

Investors in cryptocurrency markets show a notable aversion to deflationary tokenomics. Participants are less likely to invest in tokens with a deflationary framework, viewing them as riskier and potentially less profitable. Research suggests that while moderate inflation can be perceived neutrally or even positively, high inflation does not enhance attractiveness, and deflation is distinctly unfavorable.

Source: Behavioral Tokenomics: Consumer Perceptions of Cryptocurrency Token Design

These findings suggest that token designers should avoid high deflation rates, which could deter investment and user engagement. Instead, a balanced approach to inflation, avoiding extremes, appears to be preferred among cryptocurrency investors.

Loss Aversion

People tend to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains; this is known as loss aversion. In token design, this can be leveraged by introducing mechanisms that protect against losses, such as staking rewards that offer consistent returns or features that minimize price volatility. Additionally, creating tokens that users can "earn" through participation or contribution to the network can tap into this principle by making users feel they are safeguarding an investment or adding protective layers to their holdings.

Social Proof

Social proof is a powerful motivator in user adoption and engagement. When potential users see others adopting a token, especially influential figures or peers, they are more likely to perceive it as valuable and trustworthy. Integrating social proof into token marketing strategies, such as showcasing high-profile endorsements or community support, can significantly enhance user acquisition and retention.

Mental Accounting

Mental accounting involves how people categorize and treat money differently depending on its source or intended use. Tokens can be designed to encourage specific spending behaviors by being categorized for certain types of transactions—like tokens that are specifically for governance, others for staking, and others still for transaction fees. By distinguishing tokens in this way, users can more easily rationalize holding or spending them based on their designated purposes.

Endowment Effect

The endowment effect occurs when people value something more highly simply because they own it. For tokenomics, creating opportunities for users to feel ownership can increase attachment and perceived value. This can be done through mechanisms that reward users with tokens for participation or contribution, thus making them more reluctant to part with their holdings because they value them more highly.

Conclusion

By considering how behavioral factors influence market perception, token engineers can create much more effective ecosystems. Ensuring high demand for the token, means ensuring proper funding for the project in general.

If you're looking to create a robust tokenomics model and go through institutional-grade testing please reach out to contact@nextrope.com. Our team is ready to help you with the token engineering process and ensure your project’s resilience in the long term.

FAQ

How does the initial supply of a token influence its market perception?

  • The initial supply sets the perceived value of a token; a larger supply might suggest a lower per-token value.

Why is the maximum supply important in token design?

  • A finite maximum supply signals scarcity, helping protect against inflation and enhance long-term value.

How do investors perceive inflation and deflation in cryptocurrencies?

  • Investors generally dislike deflationary tokens and view them as risky. Moderate inflation is seen neutrally or positively, while high inflation is not favored.